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World Cup 2026 Winner

France lead the field at 18% on Kalshi. England surging after group stage. Brazil and Argentina both live. Tournament final July 19.

Updated: Jun 30, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC · Kalshi + Polymarket · Not financial advice.

Current Favorite

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

18%

implied probability

+456

American odds

-2pp

24h change

📊 All Markets(7 open · 0 resolved)

1

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

18%
2pp+456
Kalshi
2

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

14%
3pp+614
Kalshi
3

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

13%
1pp+669
Polymarket
4

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

12%
1pp+733
Polymarket
5

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

11%
+809
Kalshi
6

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

7%
1pp+1329
Kalshi
7

Will the USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

5%
2pp+1900
Kalshi

ℹ️ How to read these odds

  • % — implied probability. 20% = 1-in-5 chance.
  • +400 — bet $100, win $400 profit. -110 — bet $110 to win $100.
  • ▲/▼ pp — percentage point move in 24h. Big moves = new information.
  • Vol — total traded. Higher = more reliable price signal.

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